Saturday, 5 September 2020

Cross Posting: Post No. 1,654 - In this week’s news

This originally appeared on my main blog at https://gnwmythr.blogspot.com/2020/09/post-no-1653-in-this-weeks-news.html.

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Black Lives Matter!

Stay safe - wash your hands, practice social distancing and wear a face mask in public, and follow informed medical advice - and be considerate towards those at risk or in situations of vulnerability (including economic) while the COVID-19 pandemic is a problem.

To counter despots, abuses of human rights and incompetent governance, and enable responsible, inclusive and participatory democracy, which is the ONLY sustainable basis for liberty and freedom, all people must embrace, instead of fearing, uncertainty, and commit to clear and objective/dispassionate thought, goodwill, and competence at being human, including having emotions.

This is a new, very cut down series of news aggregation posts based on some observations on matters that struck a personal note: unlike the former “Gnwmythr’s News”, it is not trying to convey key events. Also, being an Australian, I am now going to start referring to specific Australian states using accepted abbreviations. Editorial comments / personal opinion by me in grey.

Content Warning: the linked articles and their descriptions here may be about violence, abuse, hate, and other problems.

 

My Articles this week include:   “thoughts on embracing uncertainty”;   the genocide in burma.

On Personal / Spiritual Matters:   excellent thoughts of a Druid on rage.

Reading/Viewing I found interesting this week included:   distraction.

 

Overall Commentary on this week’s news:

what has really stood out for me this week is the depth of depravity and despotism of lyin’ 45’s regime in USA - especially now that the the surveillance programme revealed by Edward Snowdon has been confirmed to be illegal, and those defending it were lying. Lyin’ 45 has moved the USA closer to another civil war - but authoritarian despots elsewhere (such as our iron hearted Dutton) are also doing damage, and many have been enabled to do so by voters who allowed themselves to be duped by deceitful media (especially News Corpse). The climate crisis is existential for the human species, but between the despots and their unthinking sock puppet voters etc and the pandemic, I wonder how many of us will be alive to face the worst (which is yet to come!) of that crisis? Those enforcing the rules in my home state have done well mostly, but with some concerning lapses: are they suffering the police equivalent of shell shock/combat fatigue? Given their powers, we can’t afford that. Too many police overseas have been utterly appalling, and quite a few of those overseas police should be sacked and charged.

In This Week’s News:
   one of the few heroes from the Rwandan genocide, now a critic of the Rwandan government for authoritarianism, has been arrested on (disputed)  allegations of terrorism (my first reaction is that the charges are trumped up, given Rwanda’s history of violently  suppressing  dissent, but the arrest was under an international warrant, so there is either genuine evidence or Interpol was duped - either way, this will be watched closely);   “how the Catholic school system takes from the poor to give to the rich”;   a controversial social media platform with a history of promoting conspiracy fantasists/misogynists and other bigots and haters has thrown a tantrum and is making false claims about the proposed fair news deal and threatening to stop using Australian news - putting their profit ahead of our rights, but see also here, on a proposal to base news fees on the value placed on public interest journalism;   renewable energy technology uses minerals, and thus has a mining impact;   multiple crises facing farmworkers in parts of the USA;   a jerk with a jetpack chose to put hundreds of lives in a jetliner at risk;   some of the impacts of bright light at night from the moon (and possibly also urban light pollution);   a review of cyber security around two factor authentication;   globalisation and equality/inequality;   the need for scientists to communicate properly.

 

In the Environmental Arena, where we have been fighting World War III for some time now:
   a major business coalition has - after many years of actively resisting this - urged our neolib denialist conspiracy fantasist government to spend at least $3 billion on renewables over the decade;   a “construction and mining industry super fund … says it will slash emissions from its investments by 45% within the next 10 years, putting carbon-intensive companies on notice that they will need to demonstrate how they will cut greenhouse gas emissions in order to stay within the fund’s $54bn portfolio”;   concerns about our imminent and climate crisis worsened fire season;   a critique of hydrogen as a fuel;   “in the Murray-Darling: farm upgrades increase water prices more than buybacks”;   an assessment by Israel’s Environment Protection Ministry using OECD guidelines found that “the 570 biggest factories in Israel cost the state … $3.9 billion in damage to public health and the environment last year”;   house hunters are not told energy ratings;   a questioning of why the bushfire commission appointed by the national neolib nitwits has not addressed the critical link with climate change;   the national neolibs are trying to use an environmental fund for non-sustainable energy projects;   police from a US city with a history of hate and fatal shootings shot an unarmed black man who was riding a bicycle, handcuffed him as he lay dying, and then left his body in the streets for hours;   the history of when things started to go backwards, under our deads**t former  28th PM (who is still deads**tting away - the UK government is facing increasing criticism over hiring the misogynistic climate denial fantasist), who purged climate crisis warners;   the storage battery in SA will be extended;   20 reptiles facing extinction;   a retraction of a scientific paper over an error has given loggers fuel;   property developers want compensation for not being able to destroy a sensitive area (if they bought the land in good faith, and didn’t know it was sensitive, they actually have a good case, in my opinion);   six Portuguese youth are suing Europe over inadequate action against the life threatening climate crisis.

other environmental matters have occurred in:
   a long standing Qld. dam proposal;   NSW;   Argentina’s wetlands;   human health.

 

This week on the Protests in the Despotic USA and associated protests/issues elsewhere:
   as US Democratic Presidential candidate Biden accuses “toxic” lyin’ 45 of inflaming violence (and said the police officer responsible should be charged) and of defeating hate, and the deaths now include a right wing vigilante (fascist?), lyin’ 45 has insulted the Mayor of Portland and suggested the National Guard should be called in: perhaps the Mayor should do that, and use the guard to protect BLM protestors against the right wing fanatics, both in and out of (or without) uniform - see also this opinion that conservatives in the USA have a history of winning on law-and-order campaigns, so lyin’ 45 should not be underestimated on this. Following this, lyin’ 45 moved the USA closer to civil war by defending the murdering teenage vigilante, going to the city where he committed his murders, and refusing to condemn violence by his supporters. On that, “the former head of America's overarching counter-terrorism body is warning political violence could ‘spin out of control’ in the days leading up to the US presidential election, potentially resulting in ‘a lot of people getting killed’ ”;   the struggle facing social media platforms trying to address conspiracy fantasies;      a group led by a now 105 year old survivor is seeking reparations for a 1921 massacre of hundreds of black people in the USA;   “an elderly couple in [the USA] was arrested and charged after acting as vigilantes and shooting at three Black people they wrongfully believed were stealing”;   a review of evidence showed the BLM protests in Israel did not spread coronavirus (why doesn’t this mention the measures - such as face masks, some physical distancing, and hand sanitising - that were taken by many of these protestors? This assessment is either half baked or incompetently reported. I also wish to point out that protests are - quite lawfully and for excellent reasons - banned in my home state until we have the pandemic under control. Don’t Use [or advocate for] Street Protests - other people have a right to LIVE);   despite more than 90% of protests being peaceful, around 42% of people believe otherwise - largely due to false media reports;   the experience of one of the victims of a kidnapping by US secret police;   police are using dogs against blacks;

Internationally:
   right wing ideological zealots and conspiracy fantasists have tried to violently invade Germany’s Parliament;   an act of Islamophobia has led to riots in Sweden;   Israel;

Police:
   seven police have been suspended and are being investigated after a man they arrested asphyxiated in an anti-spit hood (for health reasons, I support the principle of having something to stop spit - I have long thought sports spectators who spat should be charged with attempting to cause an illness, but how does someone die from a hood if it has been applied correctly?);

attacks on and actions by the Media:
   a journalist has quit over racism in the media.

 

On Human and Animal Rights:

   “seven years after former National Security Agency contractor Edward Snowden blew the whistle on the mass surveillance of Americans’ telephone records, an appeals court has found the program was UNLAWFUL - and that the U.S. intelligence leaders who publicly defended it WERE NOT TELLING THE TRUTH”;

   the USA has joined all other despotic regimes - including the Nazis - by sanctioning ICC prosecutors;   Turkey has cut off water to one million people in Syria;   the Philippines despot has ordered the head of government department to shoot and kill alleged drug criminals;   China is transferring its genocidal techniques (including forced abortions and sterilisations) used against the Uighurs to be used against Tibet, their “first laboratory” for genocide;   Australian soldiers are showing unprofessionalism, incompetence and contempt for the laws of war on social media;   more thoughts on improving sanctions in sub-Saharan Africa against North Korea (this is a talk on a set of suggestions I posted a link to some time ago);   Israel is investigating an incident where Israeli soldiers allegedly planted IEDs in a Palestinian village;   Belarus has called for help;   Inner Mongolia;   a social media platform tries to remove hate speech in burma;   Gaza fishing people have been allowed back to sea by Israel;   Kashmir;
   former First Lady Michelle Obama has called out lyin’ 45’s systemic racism;   an examination of the possibility of a backlash against actions against racism in sport;   how to fix unfair healthcare for Māori;   in Australia, a “mother who spoke out about racial slurs made against her teenage daughter by elite private school students has received an influx of global support”;   a town is closer to being returned to its Indigenous owners;
   “a former NSW coroner has revealed that [a] case could have been resolved much sooner if not for police treating the death as a suicide and closing the case” (so why shouldn’t we, particularly in light of police history of violent homophobia, assume this wasn’t also homophobia, rather than incompetence?);
   a call for sexual harassment to be treated as an OHS issue - and transphobic behaviour such as misgendering / deadnaming is attempted murder;   the problems facing male victims of domestic violence;   “despite women facing the wage gap, eventual poverty and possible homelessness, the government is quite happy to blame us for our fate”;   a Qld. police officer who leaked the address of a domestic violence victim and encouraged and promised to protect her abuser has has a prior conviction overturned (what most people would consider a non-punishment [community service - not even a requirement to get counselling] has been imposed): do the courts and Qld police have ANY idea how chilling this will be to victim/survivors of domestic violence?! It will stop victims contacting the police-- especially if the police compound the staggeringly soft handling of this DV enabler by not sacking the still serving officer);   the need for survivors of sexual assault to be able to speak out;
   a call for an enquiry into the suicides of child abuse victims;
   refugees and asylum seekers have pointed out that they are not criminals;
   the head of an Australian spy agency has tried to defend spying on Australians by saying not all are good: from historical behaviour and the signs of backwardness and bias, that also applies to the spies, which is why we’re concerned;   a “the former Timor-Leste president . . . has urged Australia to show wisdom, honesty and compassion by stopping the unfair prosecution of Witness K and [his lawyer], a case he described as “political” and one that had “profoundly shocked” the Timorese people” (sadly, I don’t think our cold hearted neolib government will);
   the eSafety Commissioner will be given powers to deal with cyberbullying of adults;   another staggering example of government incompetence on cyber data security, this time in NSW;
   the abusive use of solitary confinement in Qld. jails.

Genocide matters (good and bad) in:
   western China;   burma;

Torture, Disappearances and Execution/Killing matters (good and bad) in:
   Saudi Arabia has opened the door to potentially not killing children;   how the EU can help torture victims in Belarus obtain justice;   Yemen;   Nepal;   Iran;

Refugee, immigration, and migration matters (good and bad) have occurred in:
   Malta;

Racism/caste based matters including land rights (good and bad) have occurred in:
   USA;   a call for blackbirding history to be taught in schools;   science;

Child Abuse/Trafficking/Slavery & Extreme Worker Abuse matters (good and bad) have occurred in:
   Australia;   bystanders ignored a girl being assaulted in Australia;   Israel (good news);   Bangladesh;   Asia;

LGBTIQ+ matters (including internalised homo-/bi-/trans-phobia/hate) (good and bad) have occurred in:
   Cook Islands;   South Africa;   NSW;   Mexico;   USA (good news);

Sexism (including internalised sexism), misogyny/misandry and domestic violence matters (good and bad) have occurred in:
   Argentina;   Argentina;   Jamaica;   a limitation of sex education;   Egypt;   Afghanistan;   Afghanistan (good news);

Disability matters (good and bad) have occurred in:
   concerns over risks of suicide as a result of one part of recent changes to the NDIS;

Freedom of the Press / Expression matters (good and bad) have occurred in:
   burma;   Jordan;   Zimbabwe;   North Korea;

Privacy/Surveillance matters (good and bad) have occurred in:
   Australia;   the problem of AI governance;

Repression/Oppression / reduction of democracy and other civil & political rights matters (good and bad) have occurred in:
   Australia;   Hungary;   Hong Kong;   Tanzania;   USA;   burma;   Zimbabwe;   Turkey;

Other animal and human rights matters (good and bad) have occurred in:
   underpayment of foreign students in Australia;   New Zealand;   the Vatican in WW2;   schools in Lebanon;   DR Congo;   populism;

In the related human rights arena of Employment:
   a major tech company appears to be breaking Australian law by trying to prevent workers organising into a union using secret surveillance;   neoliberal ideologues are attacking superannuation for workers.

 

Risks or occurrences of Atrocities, Mass Violence and/or War(s) this week in:
   Israel/Gaza;   Colombia;   Sudan, China and the victims of enforced disappearance;   Cameroon;

And:
   media gatekeeping is limiting what people see of kidnappings and other violence;   a published UK policy on protecting civilians in military conflict refers to R2P: now to see how well it is implemented . . . ;   the economic damage of the war in eastern Ukraine;   Indonesia has been doing well with its presidency of the UN Security Council;   peacekeeping in Lebanon;   “the big lesson of peacekeeping in Sudan: beware of host-country obstruction”.

 

On Disasters this week:
   a building collapse in China;   flash floods in Afghanistan have killed more than 100 people;   the devastation and deaths caused by Cyclone Laura in the USA;   a Panamanian registered live animal transport ship with 6,000 cattle and 43 people on it capsized and sank off Japan;   an explosion in a fireworks factory in Sri Lanka;

And:
   “COVID-19 and the consequences of cascading and compounding disasters”;   devastation continues 15 years after Hurricane Katrina - especially of human rights;   a Reuters exclusive says fires in Brazil likely worst in a decade - data is wrong;

Bushfires have occurred in:
   Brazil;   Argentina’s wetlands.

 

On Humanitarian Aid and Development:
   “spending time in lower-income countries may lead to greater support for charity but less support for political change”;   “speaking truth to power about the SDGs”.

 

In the Democracy, Governance, Politics, Public Ethics, and Society arena:
General Matters:
   working at home during the pandemic has been possibly the biggest increase of productivity of the last century;   “4 things governments can do to help small business”;   the pandemic has shown the importance of good (not necessarily more) governance;

in Australia:
   a historical conservative icon used, contrary to the current neolibs ideology, government deficit budgets;   questions over a large pandemic loan and a grant to a company that is using a “legal technicality” to fight against the extent of compensation of a victim of an incident it has admitted liability for;   a billionaire is pumping tens of thousands of dollars into his “spoiler political party” to stop environmental consideration and human rights restricting his fossil fuel income - including paying employees of said fossil fuel companies to take political action;   a health union has called for an increase in the Medicare levy to pay for proper aged care;   “Australia’s top economists oppose the next increases in compulsory super”;   in what could seem to a variation of the police-clearing-police-they’re-investigating problem, an intelligence “watchdog” review has cleared spy agencies of neglecting the mental health of a secret prisoner (the victims says the watchdog was duped by professional liars);   a call for national education testing - which is causing bad writing - to be urgently reformed;   anger after the two main national parties join to avoid stronger political donations laws;   a Premier has said “parliamentary privilege should not be used as a ‘blanket shield’ to stifle a corruption investigation”;   our neolib national government, which claims to be focused on financial efficiency, is losing three quarters of all decisions to deny compensation to veterans on appeal (how about saving the costs of the court cases, the extra health and community costs, and not being so cold hearted in the first place?);   a call for the obvious: let Uni graduates claim their massive debts off their tax;   a charity appears to be hiding its status when getting business;   a criticism of the trend towards authoritarianism embodied in cold (so cold the word iron could be used) hearted Minister Dutton.

The Unexceptional (and despotic) States of America:
   an author has suggested Republicans who don’t want to vote for lyin’ 45 but are uncomfortable about apparent disloyalty simply don’t tell people how they really voted;   the leader of the House has foolishly given lyin’ 45 ammunition by a moment’s failure to observe pandemic measures;   a YouTube channel of - they say and seem to be - Republican voters against lyin’ 45;   a Reuters exclusive reports on campaigns to reassure voters on the integrity of the US election process and counter any campaign by lyin’ 45 if he loses;   lyin’ 45 has illegally urged people to illegally vote a second time by mail and continued his campaign against “mail-in” voting - and called military personnel who died in war “losers”;   lyin’ 45 is “is destroying democracy in broad daylight”;

Elsewhere in the World:
   confirmation that the poisoning of Russia’s opposition leader was attempted murder using a nerve agent used by Russia previously;   pop culture references are being used by protestors to get around a ban on criticising Thailand’s monarchy;   Belarus has entered its fourth week of peaceful  protests demanding the resignation of their President;   more cyber-attacks expected in New Zealand;   Lech Wałęsa’s opinion is that “a dictatorship is being created” in Poland;   after four decades, a possible change of government in Samoa;

other democracy, governance, politics, public ethics, and society matters have occurred in:
   Israel;   ASIC;   Lebanon;   Australia’s award system;   Iraq;   Libya.

 

Internationally:
   women victims of the misogynist violent extremist group in Afghanistan are present, albeit as a minority, in the team seeking to negotiate peace;   continuing tensions between India and China;   China has not matched Australia’s assistance to Pacific island nations on the pandemic;   as India bans 118 apps from China, an examination of the “decoupling” of China’s and India’s economies is published, as are details of the Tibetan soldier fighting for India who was killed on the border between India and Chinese occupied Tibet;   Russian activity caused a mobilisation in Sweden;

on China’s Communist Party (CCP) Regime and the reinvigorated  ideological Cold War this week:
   an Australian working in China has been detained without charge;   Germany is “diversifying” its relations in Asia to be less dependent on China;   “ ‘joint development’ is a misnomer when China has no legal stake in what is Indonesian territory”;   “there are signs that [the CCP] recognises Australia’s positions on Hong Kong, Taiwan and Xinjiang are based on its own interests”;   a call for US support for Taiwan to be unambiguous;   an assessment of China’s military capabilities and strategies;

on Israel’s intended Annexation of the West Bank and other matters:
   as Palestinian artists lead the start of a boycott, the UAE say they have  “assurances” from lyin’ 45’s regime that Israel’s annexation of the West Bank “won’t happen” . . . lyin’ 45’s regime also claim a two state solution will happen;   recognition by Kosovo appears imminent and Serbia will move it embassy to West Jerusalem.

 

In Africa - Democracy, Governance, Politics, Public Ethics, And Society and International Relations:
   the choice now facing Burundi;   talks may happen on a possible transition from the military back to democracy in Mali.

 

On the COVID-19 pandemic caused by the SARS-CoV-2 novel coronavirus (there are other novel coronaviruses) (seven major risks to watch here, and seven sins of thought to avoid here), and Wear Masks!!!):
   “coronavirus has fuelled authoritarian trends around the world”;  a call for kids only pandemic briefings - like those in Norway;   an excellent rundown on the causes and prevention of pandemics (the commentary on the numbers of new diseases now being discovered each year is staggering);

   medical aspects:   a comparative study of how US cities handled the 1918 influenza outbreak which shows the importance of physical distancing and lockdowns;   some of the rarer symptoms;   mental health issues from the perspective of brain functioning;

   resources:   a guide to state by state restrictions;

 

Human Rights Aspects (crisis . . . running summary of impacts on elections here):
   massacres in Colombia may be by vigilante of those breaching pandemic containment measures;   the USA will refuse to pay money it owes to the WHO;   the increased use of new tech is creating serious privacy risks;
   also including

sexism:
   it is likely fewer women will be elected to local Councils in my home state;   DV survivors in India are helping other survivors;   rapes during lockdown in El Salvador;

housing:
   some renters are having problems getting mould fixed;   as a call is made to address the flaws in our social security that have been exposed by the pandemic, rentals will shortly become extremely unaffordable;   evictions in South Africa.

 

Environmental Impacts:   medical waste has deluged a river in Indonesia;

 

In My Home State:
   a counter view pointing out what a nurse considers the hotel quarantine scheme in my home state got right;   a slightly overblown (mental health is an issue) opinion on how well Victorians are handling the lockdown;   “public housing tenants vulnerable to coronavirus will be offered private rental properties”;   a call for mass testing;   the proposed 12 month extension of our State of Emergency has been cut to the normal six and approved;   fears in regional areas of eased restrictions;   questions after police powers were used to issue stupid fines (such as for not being home while in hotel quarantine), but there have been nearly 2,000 fines, total cost over $2.9 million, and many appear to be valid;   four arrests for inciting acts to put people’s lives at risk;   another day with a sad record daily death toll - but only six of those were from that day (the others had been misclassified), and most were still from aged care;   the enquiry into hotel quarantine is continuing;

Australia:
   a review of Australia’s ban on people leaving Australia;   continuing caution is urged (again);   NSW is improving its flawed hotel quarantine scheme, but resisting calls for facemasks in public;   Australian farmers will be allowed to hire international fruit pickers (they will be quarantined for two weeks on arrival, but this will also boost the Pacific);   supermarket employees are wearing badges to remind people they are human beings;   a graphical assessment of the economy;   slacking off on physical distancing (a work colleague in another state commented on the lack of spacing on a domestic airline flight);   company profits have jumped . . . (there is a graph on social media [here, if you have access] showing that the more deaths, the greater the contraction of the economy: unfortunately I cannot find a non-social media link to it);   the political quagmire;   no-one seems to know where funding for aged care is going;   the approaching job crisis;   the national cabinet is “fractured”;

Internationally:
   New Zealand is moving towards facemasks, as research shows “Māori are more likely to die from COVID-19 than other New Zealanders”;   the heartbreaking, devastating situation of workers from rural areas in Indian cities;   schools have reopened in the UK;   Indonesia appears to be continuing to put the economy ahead of people;   some teachers in the USA have resigned over safety concerns when schools are forced to reopen;   as it reopens, India has nearly 4 million cases;   40% of South Korea’s new cases are aged;   Israeli hospitals may be overwhelmed within weeks;   burma;   land theft is harming the indigenous peoples of the Amazon river basin;   Venezuela;   Syria is not protecting health workers;   boosting water security in India;

Africa:
   lessons from the eradication of polio in Africa for the fight against COVID-19;

Irresponsibility, Selfishness, and Unthinking Behaviour:
   UK;   a woman inciting breach of the regulations and thus putting others’ lives at risk has been arrested and charged.

WLNGRHDMT

And finally . . . Black Lives Matter!

 

 

 

 

Friday, 4 September 2020

Inconvenience (and the genocide of the Rohingya)

If I was to be "socially nice" for a moment, I would say that a number of nations find honouring human rights, both within their nations and without, to be at times "inconvenient".

Pleasant, bland, inoffensive - and a lie.

The truth is that those who find that acceptable are either cowards, unethical/unthinking monsters, or both.

I've been re-reading Samantha  Power's "A Problem from Hell" (Amazon), and the denial and downplaying of the Holocaust during WW2 was appalling - the attempts, limited in success and opposed by the US Government as they were, of US Ambassador to the Ottoman Empire  Henry Morgenthau Sr. make the US response to the Armenian Genocide - well, not good, but less bad.

Ms Power wrote that masterful book in response to her witnessing of the atrocities in the former Yugoslavia, events that were denied by iron hearted and/or duped IPOCs like this specialist in false equivalence and conspiracy fantasies.

I like the structure adopted in Ms Power's book, and I am actually studying her book, just as I used to study text books at Uni. I've decided to have a go at applying it to the currently continuing genocide by burma (that nation is not yet a democracy, and thus I refuse to use "Myanmar") against the Rohingya.


Genocide
Warning
Recognition
Response
Aftermath
Rohingya
The burmese Empire was one of, if not the, most aggressive and expansionary in that part of the world (until the British Empire arrived in the early-mid 1800s). Their violent acquisitions set the scene for the current swathe of unrest in border regions and minorities in burma.
One of those areas was the land now known as Arakan or Rakhine, whose people were mostly driven out by the burmese using the sorts of techniques we saw a few years ago (and still continuing) - twice, in 1406, and 1785 (see also here). Thus, when burma claims that the Rohingya came from Bengali, they are “conveniently” ignoring the inconvenient truth that those people were only in Bengali because of burmese actions.
The Rohingya, equally part of burma at independence, have increasingly been denied human rights since the 1962 coup - and even more so since 1982. They have “faced military crackdowns in 1978, 1991–1992, 2012, 2015, 2016–2017 and particularly in 2017–2018, when most of the Rohingya population of Myanmar was driven out of the country, into neighbouring Bangladesh”.
More generally, burma has a long history of human rights abuses, which are still continuing. Concerns existed that the gentle approach burma was being given would encourage abusers.
To use an old police term, burma “has (past) form”.

The word “genocide” was developed largely in response to the Armenian Genocide; the Genocide Convention was written and passed into international law in response to the Holocaust; the Responsibility to Protect (R2P) principle was codified (it already existed) in response to inaction in the former Yugoslavia and Rwanda.
Just as burma “has form” on abuse, so too does the world “have form” on ignoring abuse.
Recognition that “something” was happening was present in early (2017, maybe also 2016) media reports, but they were too clinical, in my opinion, to get across the reality that another violent genocide was underway.
Briefings by NGOs got the point across more clearly.
Investigations by the UN’s OCHCR in 2017  confirmed that a major atrocity was underway, and officials were alluding to genocide (the term “acts of genocide” is a weasel phrase) in 2018. The ICC in 2018 considered this to be a genocide, and sought permission to investigate.
My opinion is that a genocide should have been declared in late 2017, certainly no later than 2018.

Prior to the genocide, the focus of the world has largely been on getting rid of the repressive  military junta, and hopefully getting some democracy or at least decent people in their stead. The reforms of 2011-12 reduced the military to 25% of the seats, but their influence over key selection processes means they have far more influence, and the nation remains  repressed. (The World Bank data below shows that, generally speaking, burma is dreadful with regard to governance, but it has been slightly less dreadful of late.) Prior to the “reforms” in 2011-12, the world (except for China) had agreed to treat burma like any other apartheid state: as a pariah.
My sense is that, over the last couple of decades, as a whole, the world (except for the Union of Soviet Socialist Russia, under Grand Tsar Putin) has been too focused on how to avoid taking action in Syria to also give attention to how to avoid taking action on the building crises in burma. More specifically, those few, undoubtedly overworked and under-resourced, people in governments who have been tasked with burma have probably hoped that “reform” might lead to Reform - and that was all they had time, energy or resources to do.
The nations of the world condemned the genocide - or, at the very least, the “atrocities”), send aid to help Bangladesh, one of the poorest nations on earth, cope with the nearly one million refugees, called for investigations, and imposed (more) sanctions. (Sanctions still apply - for example, see here.)
This all seemed a little too glib, to me, and the inaction of the UN Security Council over fears of a veto by China was truly appalling, but then in November, 2019, The Gambia filed a legal case against burma; and in January, 2020, the International Court of Justice found a genocide was happening, and made a preliminary order to burma to prevent it. (See here for an assessment of burma’s largely non-existent response.)
The legal case against burma is continuing, and Canada and the Netherlands have joined The Gambia, which has been seeking to improve its internal human rights situation - and certainly running this case would help all in The Gambia to be focused on human rights.
The genocide is still continuing.
It is too early to consider returns to burma, let alone an “aftermath”.
What is facing the nations and people of the world right now, in this still continuing response phase, is:
what are you going to do to:
(i)                   help the victims of the genocide, especially those who have fled to Bangladesh (which is a reference to Bangladesh’s needs), but also those still in burma;
(ii)                 help hold burma to account and address the problems in the short (stop the abuses), medium (return their land to the Rohingya, provide compensation, etc), and long (dealing with bigotry and establishing a genuine [functional and inclusive] democracy) terms?
(Incidentally, there are some magnificent initiatives being taken by the Rohingya themselves. [I’ve had the benefit of talking to some people who have worked at providing aid in Cox’s Bazaar, but there is also some excellent media coverage by Thomson Reuters and others.]Every single one of these people, including every single death or victim of abuse, is a human being. Never forget it.)
I’ve written to our Foreign Minister a few times, and have seen aid to Bangladesh increase (no doubt in response to many examples of activism, not to mention the inherent decency of those involved in government). I’m using my writing skills in a few other ways (I even tried to write to the ICC in 2017 arguing they get involved, but got such a nonsensical response back I haven’t bothered with them ever since), and am doing a few other matters - and that’s before we get to social media.
I have also written to my local MP and others to try to find out what military aid Australia is giving burma, and why, but have had no response whatsoever.
That’s a concern, as it is governmental levels that will largely drive an effective response - including holding burma to account in the (deeply, deeply flawed) Human Rights Council, but also making sure responses to the current and any further orders from the ICJ are obeyed.
The world is facing a test of decency: so far, The Gambia has passed well, and Canada and the Netherlands have also received conceded passes.
Where do other nations want to be, and are they genuine about any professions of wanting to be decent.
If yes, this is an area where actions alone will speak.
Those actions include helping Bangladesh to continue to rise to the occasion. 
Final point: there may need to be an update of the definition of refugee - allowing an economy inside Cox's Bazaar is probably one of the best ways to help the situation. 

From http://info.worldbank.org/governance/wgi/Home/Reports, burma’s governance is rated as follows over the last quarter century or so: 
You'll notice it's not getting better . . .

Now, let's consider the topic of "inconveniences" during the following phases:

Warning:
  • when burma claims that the Rohingya came from Bengali, they are “conveniently” ignoring the inconvenient truth that those people were only in Bengali because of prior burmese actions that are very similar to what has happened recently and is now happening; 
  • when the nations of the world looked away to focus on events elsewhere, they "conveniently" overlooking the fact that suffering of this type will eventually affect others - just look at Syria and World War Two, for a couple of quick examples.

Recognition:
  • nations may consider it inconvenient to recognise a genocide as it would require them to commit resources (and such responses do NOT have to be military: anyone claiming that is lying - or incompetent). This has been shown up by the actual responses led by The Gambia. On top of that, nations which are arguing against or dissembling on recognition are undermining themselves by shooting their ethics foot right off; 
  • the UN and other organisations also have the capacity to take action that is out of the ordinary - i.e., extra-ordinary. Changing the definition of refugee to allow education and an economy would be one; genuinely holding burma to account in the HRC is another.

Response:
  • some nations, groups or persons may consider it inconvenient to respond to this genocide out of a wrong notion that it could set back democracy in burma:
    (1) the current situation is a what I term a 49% democracy, as the army retains ultimate power;
    (2) it is questionable whether any society claiming to be a democracy that cannot handle truth is, in fact, a democracy - and this applies to many nations which are repressing dissent or struggling with the truth;
    so that notion is rubbish; 
  • putting responsibility onto others who are ostensibly better able to help is "conveniently" ignoring the moral responsibility that all bear.

Aftermath:
  • We haven't got there yet, so things like trying to force a return of Rohingya is basically a case of refoulement - no matter how convenient that might be a nation's overstretched economy; 
  • Arguing that this should be put off until later is begging for "later" to be worse. That's not convenient ultimately - especially if that is just so you can leave your position and leave others deal with it. That's the sort of attitude that made the climate crisis so bad.

And, finally ... I hope someone with more knowledge - perhaps even a little "inside" knowledge - does a better version of this.


Tuesday, 1 September 2020

Thoughts on embracing uncertainty

One of the biggest problems with people inclined towards authoritarianism is their fear of chaos. However, many such people, in my experience, are perfectly comfortable with an unregulated or relatively unregulated housing / car market - they feel no need to see rigid controls on prices, and, in fact, would probably bitterly resent and resist that.

And yet, in other areas of life - around behaviour, social variation, they are doing the exact equivalent of what they would object to around cars and houses: attempting to impose rigid rules on behaviour and thinking - out of a misguide fear of what is often described by the words "uncertainty", "chaos" (which is a bad choice from a communication perspective, as it is so loaded with other meanings), and "change", all characteristics that are present in housing / car markets.

(There is a use for this parallel in engineering as well, with those clients who cannot understand how engineers can pick budget prices without a ground up calculation. Do those clients need a ground up calculation before they have an idea what a car p[rice is likely to be? Same problem, different context.)

PS - see also here.