Note: CONTENT WARNING - some of this content is about upsetting, disturbing or triggering events & attitudes. Seek competent help - including professional - if you need it. Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander readers are advised that linked
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seeking support, resources are available in Australia here, here, and here. In other nations, you will have to do an Internet search using terms such as “mental health support - <your nation>” (which, for instance, may lead to this, this, and this, in the USA, or this, this, and this, in France [biased towards English-language - my apologies]), or perhaps try https://www.befrienders.org/.
Note: in my “from the news” posts, quotes are shown italicised and blue, my comments are in a different shade of blue, and “good” items are (when I remember) shown in green.
Well, it looks like Netanyahu has let the worse aspects of his character win, with some form of ground invasion of Lebanon starting. It now remains to be seen how major that will be, and what others will choose to do.
News reports include:
- “Trump urges Israel to hit Iran’s nuclear Centers, Terrorism that would create a massive radioactive “Dirty Bomb” and kill 70k” https://www.juancole.com/2024/10/nuclear-massive-radioactive.html
- “It would be a mistake for Israel to invade Lebanon – here’s why” https://theconversation.com/it-would-be-a-mistake-for-israel-to-invade-lebanon-heres-why-240028 “Escalation with Iran could be risky: Israel is more vulnerable than it seems | Israel | The Guardian” https://www.theguardian.com/world/2024/oct/05/escalation-with-iran-could-be-risky-israel-is-more-vulnerable-than-it-seems
- “US looks unable to talk Netanyahu out of planned invasion of Lebanon” https://www.theguardian.com/world/2024/sep/30/us-looks-unable-to-talk-netanyahu-out-of-planned-invasion-of-lebanon “An emboldened Israel appears to believe it can safely ignore a lame duck US president and grab the chance to reset the Middle East’s security dynamics” “US out of step as world reacts to Israel’s ground offensive into Lebanon | Israel attacks Lebanon News | Al Jazeera” https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2024/10/1/us-out-of-step-as-world-reacts-to-israels-ground-offensive-into-lebanon “After pressing an Israel-H_______h cease-fire, the Biden administration shifts its message” https://apnews.com/article/middle-east-israel-h_______h-united-states-8bed0f7a37b5059ba4c94552ff750f34
- “Israel has begun ground attacks on H_______h inside Lebanon, says US” https://www.theguardian.com/world/2024/sep/30/israel-threatens-what-could-be-ground-offensive-against-h_______h-in-lebanon “Israel tells US state department it is targeting infrastructure just inside Lebanon, while Beirutis are urged to evacuate” “Israel launches rare strike on central Beirut” https://www.theguardian.com/world/2024/sep/30/lebanon-beirut-israel-strikes-yemen-h_______h-latest-news “Attack, the first by Israel on centre of Lebanese capital since 2006, targeted senior figures in the Popular Front for the Liberation of Palestine” “Israeli military says it is carrying out ‘limited’ ground operation targeting H_______h in Lebanon” https://www.theguardian.com/world/2024/oct/01/israel-lebanon-attack-h_______h-ground-operation-war-latest “IDF says it has launched raids on villages close to the border ‘that pose an immediate threat to Israeli communities’, as Lebanon says Israeli strikes have killed 95 people in past 24 hours” “Mossad headquarters targeted in H_______h rocket barrage over Israel as 'limited' military operation in Lebanon continues - ABC News” https://www.abc.net.au/news/2024-10-01/israeli-troops-cross-border-skirmishes-h_______h-lebanon/104415324
and: “Israel reports 8 combat deaths as troops battle H_______h in Lebanon and fears of a wider war mount” https://apnews.com/article/israel-iran-lebanon-hezbollah-gaza-news-10-02-2024-7d93f71b7894177b4f9c303671ee55de
“Repeat of 2006? Why Israel’s ground offensive in Lebanon won’t be easy” https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2024/10/2/repeat-of-2006-why-israels-ground-offensive-in-lebanon-wont-be-easy “The failures of the past loom large as Israel launches a new military foray into southern Lebanon. ... The last time the Israeli military had boots on the ground in Lebanon was a debacle. The monthlong war that began in July 2006 saw Israeli soldiers bogged down in fierce fighting, as H_______h fighters led one tank column after the next into carefully prepared ambushes.” - “Lebanon: UN peacekeepers to stay the course amid escalating hostilities” https://news.un.org/en/story/2024/10/1155316
- “Israel orders evacuation of southern Lebanon villages as ground raids begin” https://www.theguardian.com/world/2024/oct/01/israel-order-evacuation-southern-lebanon-border-villages-incursion “Residents told to leave homes ‘immediately’ for the country’s north after shelling launched from Israel” “Video: Israel bombs Lebanon escape route after issuing evacuation orders | Hezbollah | Al Jazeera” https://www.aljazeera.com/program/newsfeed/2024/10/3/video-israel-bombs-lebanon-escape-route-after-issuing-evacuation-orders “Victims of deadly Lebanon escalation describe fleeing ‘total destruction’” https://news.un.org/en/story/2024/10/1155286
- “Six killed and 10 wounded in shooting and knife attack in Israeli city of Jaffa | Israel | The Guardian” https://www.theguardian.com/world/2024/oct/01/shooting-knife-attack-israeli-seaside-city-of-jaffa
- “The domestic political objectives behind Israel’s incursion into Lebanon | Israel | The Guardian” https://www.theguardian.com/world/2024/oct/01/the-domestic-political-objectives-behind-israels-incursion-into-lebanon “The operation has so far been on a smaller scale than anticipated and aims to reassure residents of northern Israel” “Netanyahu buoyed by far-right support for Israeli land operations in Lebanon | Israel | The Guardian” https://www.theguardian.com/world/2024/oct/01/netanyahu-buoyed-by-far-right-support-for-israeli-land-operations-in-lebanon “After a fortnight of military triumph, what is Israel’s endgame? | Israel | The Guardian” https://www.theguardian.com/world/2024/oct/02/after-a-fortnight-of-military-triumph-what-is-israels-endgame
- “Lebanon to seek humanitarian funds as bombardment by Israel continues” https://www.theguardian.com/world/2024/sep/30/lebanon-humanitarian-funds-displacement-bombardment-by-israel “Caretaker PM ‘trying to fill the gaps’ amid mass displacement of people from their homes” “Lebanon crisis: Over one million people flee strikes amid invasion fears” https://news.un.org/en/story/2024/09/1155141 “War risks reigniting tensions between Lebanon’s kaleidoscope of communities” https://www.theguardian.com/world/2024/oct/01/war-risks-reigniting-tensions-lebanon-kaleidoscope-of-communities
- “Lebanese healthcare workers fearful as growing numbers killed in strikes | Lebanon | The Guardian” https://www.theguardian.com/world/2024/oct/03/lebanese-healthcare-workers-fearful-as-growing-numbers-killed-in-strikes
- “Israel strikes H____i targets in Yemen as it continues to bomb Lebanon” https://www.theguardian.com/world/2024/sep/29/israel-launches-fresh-airstrikes-at-h____i-targets-in-yemen “Assault on Iran-backed proxies expands with attacks on fuel facilities and power plants in Hodeidah and Ras Issa” “US air strikes target several cities across Yemen | H____is News | Al Jazeera” https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2024/10/4/houthis-say-us-air-strikes-target-several-cities-across-yemen This is to protect shipping in the Red Sea
- “The decapitation of H_______h leaves Iran weighing its options” https://www.theguardian.com/world/2024/sep/30/the-decapitation-of-h_______h-leaves-iran-weighing-its-options “Masoud Pezeshkian is under domestic pressure but analysts point to the high risk of a direct attack on Israel” “Iran planning imminent ballistic missile attack on Israel, US warns | Iran | The Guardian” https://www.theguardian.com/world/2024/oct/01/iran-imminent-ballistic-missile-attack-israel-us-warns “Beirut hit by Israeli air strikes as US says Iranian missile attack on Israel imminent - ABC News” https://www.abc.net.au/news/2024-10-01/un-warns-against-israeli-ground-invasion-lebanon-h_______h/104420000 “Iran launches waves of missiles at Israel hours after US warning” https://www.theguardian.com/world/2024/oct/01/iran-imminent-ballistic-missile-attack-israel-us-warns “Iranian strikes on Israel: what happened and why did Iran attack? | Israel | The Guardian” https://www.theguardian.com/world/2024/oct/02/iranian-strikes-on-israel-what-happened-why-did-iran-attack-missiles-damage-what-next “Iran’s missile attack against Israel: What we know and what comes next” https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2024/10/1/irans-missile-attack-against-israel-what-we-know-and-what-comes-next “Former Mossad director Efraim Halevy says strength of Iranian attack on Israel surprised him” https://www.abc.net.au/news/2024-10-02/former-mossad-director-on-nasrallah-iran-netanyahu/104424830 “Iran braces for Israeli strikes as supreme leader calls for west to leave Middle East | Iran | The Guardian” https://www.theguardian.com/world/2024/oct/02/iran-braces-israeli-strikes-supreme-leader-west-leave-middle-east “Iran’s ‘axis of resistance’ call for further attacks on Israel | Israel-Gaza war | The Guardian” https://www.theguardian.com/world/2024/oct/02/irans-axis-of-resistance-call-for-further-attacks-on-israel “Weakened H_______h expected to return to traditional guerilla warfare tactics” https://www.france24.com/en/middle-east/20241003-weakened-h_______h-expected-to-return-to-traditional-guerilla-warfare-tactics “Iran’s Ali Kh_m_nei vows H_______h and H___s will not back down | Iran | The Guardian” https://www.theguardian.com/world/2024/oct/04/iran-ali-khamenei-hezbollah-hamas-lebanon-gaza-israel
- an opinion that “Missile attack on Israel signals that widely feared regional conflict has ignited | Iran | The Guardian” https://www.theguardian.com/world/2024/oct/01/missile-attack-on-israel-signals-that-widely-feared-regional-conflict-has-ignited “Iran’s strikes on Israel are the latest sign that the conflict in the Middle East is spiralling, presenting rising global security threats” https://theconversation.com/irans-strikes-on-israel-are-the-latest-sign-that-the-conflict-in-the-middle-east-is-spiraling-presenting-rising-global-security-threats-239910 “Iran’s Israel attack marked a ‘game change’ in its tactics. Here’s what could happen next” https://www.sbs.com.au/news/article/irans-israel-attack-marked-a-game-change-in-its-tactics-heres-what-could-happen-next/9ja5otjay “Iran’s attack on Israel was likely a moderate show of support for Lebanon’s H_______h, according to some experts. But others say it marks a departure from its typical approach — and it could be a “game changer”” “This terrifying tit-for-tat between Israel, Iran and its proxies will only bring more death and disaster | Lina Khatib | The Guardian” https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2024/oct/02/this-terrifying-tit-for-tat-between-israel-iran-and-its-proxies-will-only-bring-more-death-and-disaster “A Wider Middle East War Can Still Be Stopped” https://www.crisisgroup.org/middle-east-north-africa/israelpalestine-iran/east-mediterranean-mena/wider-middle-east-war-can-still-be-stopped
It should also be noted that, while the missiles Iran used are more advanced than the slower devices used in April, and were used - unlike the attack in April - in a way intended to have an impact, Iran has only used around 200 missiles out of a stock of, I understand, around 3,000 of such missiles ...
Logistics and munitions resupply are going to have a major impact on the future of this conflict.
See also: “Iranian missile strike on Israel shows capability for greater scale, complexity” https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/iranian-missile-strike-israel-shows-capability-greater-scale-complexity-2024-10-02/
- “Stopping Iran’s attack would have forced Israel to use sophisticated – and expensive – defences | Israel | The Guardian” https://www.theguardian.com/world/2024/oct/01/stopping-iran-attack-would-have-forced-israel-to-use-sophisticated-and-expensive-defences “Israel able to repel Iranian attack without need for major help from allies | Israel | The Guardian” https://www.theguardian.com/world/2024/oct/02/west-defend-israel-iranian-attack “Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu vows to respond to Iran missile attack as fears of conflict escalation rise” https://www.abc.net.au/news/2024-10-02/israel-vows-response-to-iran-missile-attack-as-fears-of-conflict/104422004 “Israel vows to retaliate after Iran launches unprecedented missile attack | Middle East and north Africa | The Guardian” https://www.theguardian.com/world/2024/oct/01/israel-vows-to-retaliate-after-iran-launches-unprecedented-missile-attack “Israel may target Iranian oil refineries in revenge strikes | Israel | The Guardian” https://www.theguardian.com/world/2024/oct/02/israel-iranian-oil-refineries-retaliatory-strikes
“Iranian FM pledges ‘stronger’ retaliation if Israel strikes Iran | Israel attacks Lebanon News | Al Jazeera” https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2024/10/4/iranian-fm-pledges-stronger-retaliation-if-israel-strikes-iran - “Israel ‘preparing response’ to Iran attack as 7 October anniversary looms | Israel | The Guardian” https://www.theguardian.com/world/2024/oct/05/israel-preparing-response-to-iran-attack-as-7-october-anniversary-looms
- “Jordan divided on H_______h, but united against Israeli attacks on Lebanon | Israel-Palestine conflict News | Al Jazeera” https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2024/10/1/jordan-divided-on-h_______h-but-united-against-israeli-attacks-on-lebanon
- “For China, war in Gaza a chance to flex diplomatic muscle at little risk” https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2024/10/2/for-china-war-in-gaza-a-chance-to-flex-diplomatic-muscle-at-little-risk “Beijing’s efforts to play greater role in Middle East still largely symbolic but could expand in future, analysts say”
and, in a disturbing report from my home state:
“Victoria police identify six possible criminal incidents after H_______h flags seen at weekend protests” https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2024/sep/30/labor-israel-attack-lebanon-protests-h_______h-flag-cancel-visas-threat-ntwnfb “Federal government warns against importing ‘radical ideologies of conflict’ and threatens to cancel visa of anyone inciting ‘discord’”
also of concern to some in my nation:
“Criticism as British Australian public servant Aftab Malik appointed new Islamophobia envoy” https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2024/sep/30/aftab-malik-labor-islamophobia-envoy-ntwnfb “Labor delayed announcing the Islamophobia envoy amid reports that people had turned down the role ... But Dr Yassir Morsi, an author and academic whose work has focused on Islamophobia and CVE programs, said the appointment raised some important questions. CVE programs have been criticised by academics and community leaders for being divisive, criminalising the community and for silencing community discussion. “There seems to be a lot of uncertainty about what his role was with CVE, which for some in the community raises significant concern, since much of the Islamophobia we had to navigate was done in the pretext of treating Muslims as a security risk.”” There are also concerns over “why a British-born Muslim who wasn’t here for 9/11, the Cronulla riots, the 2012 protests, key events in shaping the localisation of Islamophobia has been given this role, especially when there has been longstanding Muslim organisations leading this fight.”
Assumptions / basis
In writing this, I have assumed / started from the following:
- this blog states quite clearly that it is about political and human rights matters, including lived experience of problems, and thus I will assume readers are reasonable people who have noted the content warning in the post header;
Possible flaws
Where I can, I will try to highlight possible flaws / issues you should consider:
- there may be flawed logical arguments in the above: to find out more about such flaws and thinking generally, I recommend Brendan
Myers’ free online course “Clear and Present Thinking”;
- I could be wrong - so keep your thinking caps on, and make up your own minds for yourself.
If they are of any use or interest, the activism information links from my former news posts are available in this post.
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