Note: CONTENT WARNING - some of this content is about upsetting, disturbing or triggering events & attitudes. Seek competent help - including professional - if you need it. Content shown in green (which may be only part of a news story) is about what is generally considered “good news”, but personal history may still make such events triggering.
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seeking support, resources are available in Australia here, here, and here. In other nations, you will have to do an Internet search using terms such as “mental health support - <your nation>” (which, for instance, may lead to this, this, and this, in the USA, or this, this, and this, in France [biased towards English-language - my apologies]), or perhaps try https://www.befrienders.org/.
Recent and currently ongoing events have taken this part of West Asia (Israel and the occupied Palestinian Territories) back to the 1960s and 70s (or further), and it is unlikely to see peace for at least another ¾ of a century, in my opinion.
These events are also possibly the death knell of the United Nations and the current international order - which some Western powers have wanted for some time, and will soon come to regret ...
Before I get into the news, on the nations in that region, from https://freedomhouse.org/explore-the-map?type=fiw&year=2023, the freedom rating (out of 100) in 2022 was: Iran 12, Iraq 29, Jordan 33, Syria 1, Egypt 18, Lebanon 43, Gaza Strip 11 and West Bank 22 (note that both of these are largely controlled by Israel), Israel 77 - but Israel's democracy has declined this year: see https://www.idea.int/democracytracker/country/israel Also, all of these nations have been severely harmed by past interference by Western nations (see, for instance, https://www.npr.org/2019/01/31/690363402/how-the-cia-overthrew-irans-democracy-in-four-days, https://www.aljazeera.com/features/2013/7/15/legacy-of-us-1958-lebanon-invasion, and https://www.bbc.com/news/world-middle-east-36300224).
From the news (note: I may continue to add links for a few days, possibly up to a week, after these are published):
- “Iran Update, October 24, 2023 | Institute for the Study of War” https://www.understandingwar.org/backgrounder/iran-update-october-24-2023 which included “1. _____ and its allies are preparing the information environment to blame Israel for the possible deaths of hostages in the Gaza Strip, especially if _____ begins killing hostages. ... 2. ... _____ has repeatedly tried to incite violence against Israel in the West Bank ... 3. Iranian-backed militants ... [are] trying to “keep Israeli forces busy.” 4. ... the Iranian-led effort to deter the United States from providing meaningful support to Israel. ... 6. Iran is setting informational conditions to blame the United States and Israel for any further escalation of the war and deflect any responsibility from itself. This narrative that Iran is pushing ignores the fact that Iran has already facilitated the expansion of this war to Lebanon, Iraq, Syria, and Yemen by directing its proxy and partner militias in these countries to attack US and Israeli targets.”
- “Despite its inflammatory rhetoric, Iran is unlikely to attack Israel” https://theconversation.com/despite-its-inflammatory-rhetoric-iran-is-unlikely-to-attack-israel-heres-why-216345
- “Iran’s Revolutionary Guard recruits volunteers to fight in Gaza” https://www.france24.com/en/asia-pacific/20231026-iran-s-revolutionary-guard-recruits-volunteers-to-fight-in-gaza “The Iranian regime has launched an online campaign to recruit volunteers – including children – to fight alongside _____ in the war against Israel. But the government’s propaganda efforts are not making much headway among anti-regime Iranians”
- “The Four Questions The U.S. Military Should Be Asking About Operation Swords of Iron” https://warontherocks.com/2023/10/the-four-questions-the-u-s-military-should-be-asking-about-operation-swords-of-iron/ which is a very cold-hearted examination of the military aspects of the current fighting - with a dire assessment of what any fighting in Gaza City might be like ...
Also of relevance to the USA, “The Middle East [sic] and the President’s Sweeping Power Over Self-Defense” https://www.lawfaremedia.org/article/the-middle-east-and-the-president-s-sweeping-power-over-self-defense
- “Analysis: Why hasn’t Israel launched a ground invasion of Gaza yet?” https://www.aljazeera.com/features/2023/10/25/analysis-why-hasnt-israel-launched-a-ground-invasion-of-gaza-yet (another report suggests the delay is at the USA's request, to enable new air defences to be provided to protect US troops ... the truth will probably not be wholly known until years in the future)
- “_____' tunnel city beneath Gaza - a hidden front line for Israel” https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/_____-tunnel-city-beneath-gaza-hidden-frontline-israel-2023-10-26/
- “How Israel’s ground invasion of Gaza would play out – and why it will fail” https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2023/oct/25/israel-_____-war-assault-gaza-doomed-to-failure
- “Biden says West Bank settlers ‘pouring gasoline on fire’ as Israel prepares for Gaza ground invasion” https://www.theguardian.com/world/2023/oct/26/joe-biden-west-bank-settlers-israel-prepares-gaza-ground-invasion
- “Chinese Social Media Platforms Are Now Awash With Antisemitism” https://thediplomat.com/2023/10/chinese-social-media-platforms-are-now-awash-with-antisemitism/ “The Israel-_____ conflict has triggered a fresh outpouring of hate speech that aligns with Beijing’s policy aims.”
- “Tunisian parliament committee proposes bill criminalizing normalization with Israel” https://www.reuters.com/world/tunisian-parliament-committee-proposes-bill-criminalizing-normalization-with-2023-10-24/
- “Gaza crisis: Deadlock deepens as Security Council rejects competing resolutions by US and Russia” https://news.un.org/en/story/2023/10/1142817
- “‘The trauma will take years to overcome’: _____ attack rattles Israeli support for peace” https://www.france24.com/en/middle-east/20231025-the-trauma-will-take-years-to-overcome-_____-attack-rattles-israeli-support-for-peace
- “Where the ICC stands if war crimes are committed on either side of the Israel-_____ war” https://theconversation.com/where-the-icc-stands-if-war-crimes-are-committed-on-either-side-of-the-israel-_____-war-216093
- “Atrocities Present, Past and Future – Escalating Crimes and Consequences in Israel and Occupied Palestine” https://www.globalr2p.org/publications/atrocities-present-past-and-future-escalating-crimes-and-consequences-in-israel-and-occupied-palestine/
- on the initial assessments of the explosion at a hospital: “Governments and International Organisations Leave the Record Uncorrected” https://www.lawfaremedia.org/article/governments-and-international-organizations-leave-the-record-uncorrected
- “Elderly Israeli speaks after two-week _____ hostage ordeal: 'I've been through hell'” https://www.sbs.com.au/news/article/elderly-israeli-speaks-after-two-week-_____-hostage-ordeal/0t2uysx9m and “Hundreds rally in Tel Aviv to demand release of hostages” https://www.aljazeera.com/gallery/2023/10/24/photos-hundreds-rally-in-tel-aviv-to-demand-release-of-hostages and “Released Israeli hostage doing well and trying to help free others, daughter says” https://www.theguardian.com/world/2023/oct/26/released-israeli-hostage-yocheved-lifshitz-doing-well-daughter-says
- On prisoners and past & current abuses - by both sides, see also:
“Israeli civilians were tortured, raped, and abused by _____ fighters says forensic teams, Reuters reports” https://www.businessinsider.com/_____-victims-uncover-signs-torture-and-abuse-says-israeli-forensics-2023-10?op=1 ,
“Settlers and soldiers 'severely abuse' Palestinians and activists. Three Palestinians and five left-wing Israeli activists detained, tied up, beaten and sexually humiliated by Israeli forces, according to Haaretz report” https://www.middleeasteye.net/news/israel-palestine-war-settlers-soldiers-severe-abuse-report,
“Palestinian children abused in Israeli detention: NGO Some of the abuses are sexual in nature, in addition to being beaten, handcuffed and blindfolded, a report says” https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2023/7/10/palestinian-children-abused-in-israeli-detention-ngo,
“Why are so many Palestinian prisoners in Israeli jails?” https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2023/10/8/why-are-so-many-palestinian-prisoners-in-israeli-jails ,
and, from 2022, on abuses of Palestinians by Palestinians: “Palestine: Impunity for Arbitrary Arrests, Torture” https://www.hrw.org/news/2022/06/30/palestine-impunity-arbitrary-arrests-torture ,
and, from 2021: “Jailbreak shines light on mass incarceration of Palestinians” https://www.abc.net.au/news/2021-09-24/palestinian-prisoners-under-israeli-rule/100490634
- “Gaza is the most miserable place on Earth and in Israel, fear is everywhere. This tragedy cannot go on” https://www.abc.net.au/news/2023-10-23/gaza-most-miserable-place-israel-fear-tragedy-cannot-go-on/103002648 The description of the widespread, deep fear in Israel is striking
- “Gaza buckles under fuel shortage, healthcare in crisis” https://news.un.org/en/story/2023/10/1142732
- “Gaza health ministry issues 212-page document it says proves 7,028 Palestinian have died” https://www.abc.net.au/news/2023-10-27/israel-gaza-updates-gaza-health-reports-7000-deaths-in-document/103029230
- ““Not sure I'm lucky to be alive”: Gazans fear worse is to come as public health “catastrophe” looms” https://www.france24.com/en/middle-east/20231024-not-sure-i-m-lucky-to-be-alive-gazans-fear-worse-is-to-come-as-public-health-catastrophe-looms
- “UN warns Gaza aid operation will soon stop if fuel not let in” https://www.theguardian.com/world/2023/oct/25/un-gaza-aid-israel-blocking-fuel
- “As the Israeli army prepares to invade Gaza, Qatar has emerged as one of the most important players in the hostage crisis” https://www.abc.net.au/news/2023-10-27/israel-army-gaza-invasion-qatar-emerges-important-hostage-crisis/103023964
- “Understanding the history of the Israeli-Palestinian conflict in 5 charts” https://theconversation.com/understanding-the-history-of-the-israeli-palestinian-conflict-in-5-charts-216165
- “Are social media giants censoring pro-Palestine voices amid Israel’s war?” https://www.aljazeera.com/features/2023/10/24/shadowbanning-are-social-media-giants-censoring-pro-palestine-voices
- “Israel’s war of self-deceit” https://www.aljazeera.com/opinions/2023/10/24/israels-war-of-self-deceit
- “UN chief ‘shocked’ by ‘misrepresentation’ of comments in row with Israel” https://www.theguardian.com/world/2023/oct/25/israel-says-it-will-ban-un-staff-after-secretary-generals-comments
And regarding my nation:
- “Wong acknowledges ‘widespread suffering’, stops short of describing Israel’s Gaza siege as collective punishment” https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2023/oct/26/wong-acknowledges-widespread-suffering-stops-short-of-describing-israels-gaza-siege-as-collective-punishment
- “‘Horrific impacts’: Minister condemns siege on Gaza” https://www.thenewdaily.com.au/news/politics/australian-politics/2023/10/27/tony-burke-siege-gaza
- “Australia joins calls for 'humanitarian pause' in _____-Israel war as ADF deploys to Middle East” https://www.sbs.com.au/news/article/australia-joins-calls-for-humanitarian-pause-in-_____-israel-war-as-adf-deploys-to-middle-east/8e1if98k6 and “Penny Wong calls for Gaza pause, Israeli ambassador says war in Lebanon if necessary” https://www.sbs.com.au/news/article/penny-wong-calls-for-gaza-pause-israeli-ambassador-says-war-in-lebanon-if-necessary/pdtbfv39h
- “ADF aircraft and personnel deploy to Middle East” https://www.thenewdaily.com.au/news/national/2023/10/25/adf-aircraft-personnel-middle-east
I consider these recent posts of mine on this multiple tragedy still of relevance:
Situations with complicated nuances are often described as having many shades of grey: this is many shades of grey with many splotches of red ...
Note: as with other mass murderers, violent extremists crave publicity, so I refuse to give that to them - I will avoid using their names (which is a policy adopted by good law enforcement and media for other mass murderers), and I will not give them the satisfaction of being described with the T word.
My take on events, summarised at the start of this post (no apologies for the repetition), is:
A
violent extremist organisation (I will neither give them the publicity
of using their name nor describe them as anything but violent
extremists) has destroyed themselves, Gaza, and the Palestinians of the
Occupied Territories. (And where are they getting their rockets from?
Gaza has no industry, so they are coming - or have come and been
hoarded - from somewhere ... )
Israel has, by cooperatively falling in to their trap, destroyed any chance of peace in that area of the world for at least the next ¾ of a century.
The
move of voters towards authoritarianism - globally - in recent decades (the last quarter of century is of particular concern)
is also a major factor in this and other problems in the world, and the small-mindedness, fear, insularity, selfishness, amathia,
and moral & intellectual cowardice & incompetence/ineptness of those voters, and the
failures of progressive parties to take those voters with them, must be
acknowledged and dealt with. Until we have a world that will not elect people
like the 45th president of the USA and that sort of ilk, we do not have a safe world.
Assumptions / basis
In writing this, I have assumed / started from the following:
- this blog states quite clearly that it is about political and human rights matters, including lived experience of problems, and thus I will assume readers are reasonable people who have noted the content warning in the post header;
Possible flaws
Where I can, I will try to highlight possible flaws / issues you should consider:
- there may be flawed logical arguments in the above: to find out more about such flaws and thinking generally, I recommend Brendan
Myers’ free online course “Clear and Present Thinking”;
- I could be wrong - so keep your thinking caps on, and make up your own minds for yourself.
If they are of any use of interest, the activism information links from my former news posts are available in this post.
If you appreciated this post, please consider promoting it - there are some links below.
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