Note: CONTENT WARNING - some of this content is about upsetting, disturbing or triggering events & attitudes. Seek competent help - including professional - if you need it. Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander readers are advised that linked
articles may contains names and/or images of deceased people. READER CAUTION IS RECOMMENDED! For
anyone distressed by anything in this post, or for any other reason considering
seeking support, resources are available in Australia here, here, and here. In other nations, you will have to do an Internet search using terms such as “mental health support - <your nation>” (which, for instance, may lead to this, this, and this, in the USA, or this, this, and this, in France [biased towards English-language - my apologies]), or perhaps try https://www.befrienders.org/.
Note: in my “from the news” posts, quotes are shown italicised and blue, my comments are in a different shade of blue, and “good” items are shown in green.
I have loosely grouped the posts where such seemed reasonable, but that
is subjective (i.e., my opinion - others are free to disagree), and
challenging, as some posts belong in multiple “groups”.
From this week’s news on politics & democracy, and international affairs (note: I may continue to add links for a few days, possibly up to a week, after these are published), and noting the conflicts, listed here, for instance, and other global; issues, such as those listed here, that may not have made it into this weeks news:
- “The Australia Institute Essential Reading List 2023” https://australiainstitute.org.au/initiative/the-australia-institute-essential-reading-list/ I already have some of these, and some others look interesting enough to at least consider getting
- “10 Reasons Why Societies Fail to Respond to Their Greatest Threats” https://www.okdoomer.io/you-arent-the-one-panicking-they-are/ These reasons are real, and important to know so they can be countered
- “Cholera is spreading in Zimbabwe. Globally, the illness has become an indicator of social collapse” https://www.theglobeandmail.com/world/article-in-zimbabwe-and-beyond-cholera-is-a-symptom-of-deepening-global-crisis/ “As
outbreaks spread worldwide, health officials are worried that more
deaths will follow in countries already struggling with drought and war”
- “US declares warring parties in Sudan committed war crimes” https://www.reuters.com/world/africa/us-declares-warring-parties-sudan-committed-war-crimes-2023-12-06/
- “Russia boosts size of armed forces by 170,000 troops” https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2023/12/2/russia-to-boost-size-of-armed-forces-by-170000-troops and “Putin signs decree boosting Russia's troop numbers by 15 percent” https://www.france24.com/en/europe/20231201-putin-signs-decree-boosting-russia-s-troop-numbers-by-15-percent As
stated in the articles, this is because of the effects of Russia’s
ongoing illegal invasion of Ukraine. It will take time to train new
troops - in addition to basic and subsequent training, a division may
require a year to be properly prepared. I'll also include the following
perspective, on the quality of troops, from last week’s post: in an indication that the stalemate may not be unending, “Moscow’s Search for Foreign Recruits Reveals Its Growing Desperation” https://warontherocks.com/2023/11/moscows-search-for-foreign-recruits-reveals-its-growing-desperation/ and “White House warns Congress of urgent need to approve funding for Ukraine” https://www.france24.com/en/americas/20231204-white-house-warns-congress-of-urgent-need-to-approve-funding-for-ukraine See also “Time to Talk? Assessing the Plausibility of Negotiations in the Russo-Ukrainian War” War & Peace “In
this episode of War & Peace, Olga talks with Samuel Charap, Senior
Political Scientist at the RAND Corporation, about whether the current
moment makes negotiations to end the war in Ukraine more or less
advantageous for all concerned. They discuss Russian narratives about
negotiations, various parties' goals and whether or not Moscow has the
upper hand in the wake of Ukraine’s counteroffensive. They also unpack
the prerequisites for and attainability of sustainable security for
Ukraine and Europe.” Listen on Apple Podcasts: https://podcasts.apple.com/au/podcast/war-peace/id1479721943?i=1000635574359 and “Estonia's Top Military Commander: What a "War of Attrition" in Ukraine Means For Europe” Global Dispatches “I
caught up with Estonia’s top military commander General Martin Herem at
the Halifax International Security Forum in November. Estonia is a NATO
member that borders Russia and I was interested in drawing out General
Herem’s perspective on the conflict in Ukraine. We kick off with
General Herem’s military and strategic analysis of the current state of
play of the war in Ukraine. We then have an extended conversation about
the implications of a long and drawn out war for frontline countries
like Estonia - and for Europe more broadly. He explains what he believes
Ukraine needs to break the current military impasse, and why a long war
in Ukraine undermines Estonian security.” Listen on Apple Podcasts: https://podcasts.apple.com/au/podcast/global-dispatches-world-news-that-matters/id593535863?i=1000636994678 and, in an act that raises further questions/doubts about the USA’s fitness to be a world leader, “Biden willing to 'compromise' on US border policy as Senate Republicans block Ukraine aid” https://www.france24.com/en/americas/20231207-biden-willing-to-compromise-on-us-border-policy-as-senate-republicans-block-ukraine-aid “As
Senate Republicans blocked the advance of tens of billions of dollars
in military and economic assistance for Ukraine Wednesday, President Joe
Biden berated their tactics as “stunning" and dangerous. Yet he also
signalled an openness to what GOP lawmakers ultimately want: border
policy changes”
- “What Threat Does the Rebel Offensive in Myanmar Pose to the Junta?” Hold Your Fire! “In this episode of Hold Your Fire!, Richard is joined by Crisis Group’s Myanmar expert Richard Horsey to talk about the offensive launched by the Three Brotherhood Alliance, comprising three ethnic armed groups, that has made rapid advances against Myanmar’s military in northern Shan State. They talk about the offensive and what the various ethnic armed groups hope to gain. They look at the illicit economy along the northern border areas, China’s border management approach, Beijing’s policy and its worries about online scam centres in Myanmar’s east. They also talk about the resistance forces across Myanmar that emerged when the junta cracked down on post-coup protests, relations between those forces and the ethnic armed groups, and how they view the latest surge in fighting. They discuss Myanmar’s growing humanitarian needs and massive displacement over the past few years.” Listen on Apple Podcasts: https://podcasts.apple.com/au/podcast/hold-your-fire/id1530411354?i=1000636430616 See also “The New Humanitarian | Aid needs to grow in Myanmar as resistance advances put more civilians at risk” https://www.thenewhumanitarian.org/analysis/2023/12/06/aid-needs-grow-myanmar-resistance-advances-put-more-civilians-risk
- “Burkina Faso and Niger to quit G5 Sahel anti-jihadist force following Mali move” https://www.france24.com/en/africa/20231202-burkina-faso-and-niger-to-quit-g5-sahel-anti-jihadist-force-following-mali-move See also from 2021: “The G5 joint force for the Sahel was set up four years ago: why progress is slow” https://theconversation.com/the-g5-joint-force-for-the-sahel-was-set-up-four-years-ago-why-progress-is-slow-167812 and, for general background https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=G5_Sahel&oldid=1188127756
- “In Burkina Faso's blockaded towns, war crimes and mutual aid” https://www.thenewhumanitarian.org/news-feature/2023/12/05/burkina-faso-blockaded-towns-war-crimes-and-mutual-aid “Around
a million people in Burkina Faso are living under suffocating blockades
imposed by jihadist groups on dozens of towns and villages – a tool of
war that is destroying local economies and leading to mass hunger and
deaths from treatable diseases. ... However, people said their
communities have developed survival techniques, including urban farming,
the pooling of resources through mutual aid networks, and leveraging
support from families that can send money via mobile platforms”
- “Ghana meeting seeks to boost political support to strengthen UN Peacekeeping” https://news.un.org/en/story/2023/12/1144312 “Ministers
and delegates from more than 85 countries and international
organizations are meeting in Ghana this week to express their collective
commitment to UN Peacekeeping” I
admire and support the intention, and UN peacekeeping has had
successes, but it also has had failures, so this potentially could be
useful
- “Brazil army 'intensifies' border operations as Venezuela-Guyana territory dispute heats up” https://www.france24.com/en/americas/20231201-brazil-army-intensifies-border-operations-as-venezuela-guyana-territory-dispute-heats-up “Tension
is running high as Venezuela prepares to hold a referendum Sunday on
whether it is the rightful owner of the oil-rich Essequibo region, which
makes up more than two-thirds of neighbouring Guyana. ... Guyana had
asked the ICJ to call a halt to the referendum, saying it poses an
"existential" threat to the country.” The
notion that a nation can hold a referendum over whether it owns a
neighbouring nation - which is what the referendum in Venezuela
effectively is - is, in my opinion, absurd, offensive, and an attack on
the principle of sovereignty. No matter what the result, Venezuela's
greed has damaged its international stranding as it was starting to exit
the quagmire it has been in for a long time See also “UN’s top court bars Venezuela from action in Guyana border dispute” https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2023/12/1/uns-top-court-bars-venezuela-from-action-in-guyana-border-dispute ... and the Venezuelans have now “approve[d the] referendum to claim sovereignty over region of Guyana” https://www.france24.com/en/americas/20231204-venezuelans-approve-referendum-to-claim-sovereignty-over-region-of-guyana ... “Guyana says will seek UN help if Venezuela moves on disputed region of Essequibo” https://www.france24.com/en/americas/20231206-guyana-says-will-seek-un-help-if-venezuela-moves-on-disputed-region-of-essequibo but “Venezuela, Guyana agree to keep talking amid rising tensions over oil-rich region” https://www.france24.com/en/americas/20231206-us-warns-against-violence-conflict-in-venezuela-guyana-territorial-row and “US to hold military exercises with Guyana amid border tensions with Venezuela” https://www.france24.com/en/americas/20231207-us-to-hold-military-exercises-in-guyana-amid-border-tensions-with-venezuala which may well persuade cooler heads and hearts to prevail in Venezuela
- “Nicaragua’s Miss Universe emerges as symbol of defiance against Ortega regime” https://www.theguardian.com/world/2023/dec/02/nicaragua-miss-universe-sheynnis-palacios-ortega
- “Chinese Private Security Companies: Neither Blackwater Nor the Wagner Group - War on the Rocks” https://warontherocks.com/2023/12/chinese-private-security-companies-neither-blackwater-nor-the-wagner-group/ This article is informative and nuanced, and has an interesting comment that the official CCP position is “the party owns the gun” and “China’s Hackers Are Expanding Their Strategic Objectives | Lawfare” https://www.lawfaremedia.org/article/china-s-hackers-are-expanding-their-strategic-objectives
- According to Crisis Group’s latest monthly Crisis Watch newsletter: there are six conflict risks (Guatemala, Myanmar, Democratic Republic of Congo, Israel/Palestine, Lebanon, Sudan), 10 deteriorated situations (Sierra
Leone, Madagascar, Western Sahara, India-Pakistan (Kashmir), Myanmar,
South China Sea, Israel/Palestine, Iraq, Cameroon, Sudan), and 1 improved situation (Philippines);
- “Coups fuelling insecurity in West Africa – ECOWAS” https://www.vanguardngr.com/2023/12/coups-fuelling-insecurity-in-west-africa-ecowas/
- “Chorus of condemnation after neo-Nazi march in Ballarat” https://www.thenewdaily.com.au/news/state/vic/2023/12/04/neo-nazi-march-ballarat The
failure to press any charges is of concern - as is the claim by the
Police Association, and the perception that police are protecting those
committing a hate crime while it is in progress. This is a problem that
has been growing, particularly in regional Victoria, for some YEARS now -
and has been acknowledged by Parliamentary enquiries, highlighted by
intelligence community warnings, etc: are the police and local councils
responding appropriately? If yes, are they prepared to release evidence
or otherwise prove that to the communities they are serving? See also “‘Cult’ sovereign citizen movement is growing and changing, conference finds” https://www.thenewdaily.com.au/news/2023/12/04/sovereign-citizen-conference and “A
man has been arrested by the FBI over a domestic terrorist attack [that
led to the shooting deaths of two Queensland police officers]” https://www.thenewdaily.com.au/news/world/us-news/2023/12/06/fbi-arrest-wieambilla-shootings “Investigators
later said the ambush was a domestic terror crime motivated by
extremist Christian beliefs. ... “They were motivated by a Christian
extremist ideology and subscribed to the broad Christian fundamentalist
belief system known as premillennialism. The motivation of the United
States national is still under investigation by the FBI.”” & “the US conspiracy theorist linked to the Wieambilla shooters” https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2023/dec/07/fight-and-die-well-the-us-conspiracy-theorist-linked-to-the-wieambilla-shooters and “The trans distraction: how conservatives use identity politics to dodge actual governing” https://joanwestenberg.medium.com/the-trans-distraction-how-conservatives-use-identity-politics-to-dodge-actual-governing-320ede6991a8
- “'Sleepwalking into dictatorship': [former potus45] warnings spook America” https://www.france24.com/en/live-news/20231206-dictator-trump-warnings-spook-america “Could
a second Donald Trump presidency slide into dictatorship? A sudden
spate of dystopian warnings has got America talking about the
possibility less than a year before the US elections” I
have had concerns about the USA and the US system since Reagan in the
80s - and acknowledge that there were valid reasons for concerns well
before then, but I was too young to have those concerns. A recent media
survey found many young people have concerns about our (Australia’s) relations with the USA if former potus45 is re-elected: I share those concerns See also “Trump says ‘I’m not a dictator’ but top figures warn of authoritarian takeover” https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2023/dec/07/trump-dictator-authoritarian-president-2024 “Liz Cheney leads condemnation of former president, who has increasingly talked about using the state to tighten his grip”
- “French police check IDs on ‘massive’ scale with no clear strategy, report says” https://www.france24.com/en/france/20231206-french-police-make-massive-use-of-id-checks-with-no-clear-strategy-report-says “French
police conducted identity checks on a "massive" scale in 2021, despite
not having a doctrine to define their objectives or good practice during
such checks, France's public audit office, the Cour des comptes, said
in a report on Wednesday”
- “Far-right protesters gather in Paris to call for ‘justice’ after French teenager’s death” https://www.france24.com/en/europe/20231202-far-right-protesters-gather-in-paris-to-call-for-justice-after-french-teenager-s-death This
seems to be an opportunist beat up by far right extremists who want to
misdirect, inflame and use fear, using racist claims by a few witnesses
and ignoring the fact that nine people have been arrested over the crime
- noting the vital importance for a democracy of access to accurate information: “Misinformation expert says she was fired by Harvard under [social media platform] pressure” https://www.theguardian.com/technology/2023/dec/04/facebook-harvard-joan-donovan “_ says funding was cut off for criticising [a social media platform] when university was receiving $500m from [a social media platform’s founder]’s charity” Note:
I consider it important not to be too focused on which existing
platform is of concern, but rather to think more broadly about how to
manage such issues both in existing platforms AND in future possible
platforms/systems and “[a social media platform’s owner]’s Thermonuclear Defamation Suit Is a Dud” https://youtu.be/HfQ-B9g_RqE?si=iDrY84aIR-tIFjmr This is US-based and I’m neither in the US nor a legal expert, but I’m not as convinced on this just yet and a notorious social media platform “is willingly advertising deceptive and fraudulent content, as ... over $100 million worth of advertisers ... flee the platform” https://www.thenewdaily.com.au/life/tech/2023/12/02/x-misleading-content But
what is the alternative? Advertise there and prop up what has become
notorious? Better to manage online misinformation / disinformation effectively, perhaps and, also of relevance “French filmmakers warn that far-right cyber-raids are torpedoing their movies” https://www.france24.com/en/culture/20231205-french-filmmakers-warn-that-far-right-cyber-raids-are-torpedoing-their-movies See also “A Light That Cannot Be Extinguished - Exiled Journalism and Transnational Repression” https://freedomhouse.org/sites/default/files/2023-12/TNR_Journalism_Report_12.2023_Digital.pdf & “How Authoritarian Regimes Go After Journalists Beyond Their Borders” https://time.com/6342534/transnational-repression-freedom-house/
- “YouTube's copyright system isn't broken. The world's is” https://youtu.be/1Jwo5qc78QU?si=ajd-0h1xPqHgBLCZ Copyright
and intellectual property is something I came across in my day job -
for instance, when we wanted to use a type of treatment in the early
90s, and found it has just come out of patent protection - which was
closely followed by the company I worked for then deciding NOT to apply
for patent protection for something I had developed which qualified for
that - and made that decision so others could freely use it (not all corporations are always bad).
Other companies have developed measures such as the use of copyright
stamps. I have also been aware of the risks on the Internet for some
time, and - along with at least a few of the commenters -
consider the blissful and dangerous ignorance of some, often combined
with foolish myths, a significant risk. I agree that change is required,
and that will be difficult - both because of the opposition, and the
challenges of defining something suitable
- “How One Crash Led to France's Deadliest Day Ever” https://youtu.be/UndvyiIeZ1Y?si=ZbIx2ef8yNHBrGfK
I’ve written about the impact of assassinations in the past, but this
video shows how the accidental death of a pro-sensible uniforms War
Minister in France led to thousands more deaths in the first year of
World War (part) one for France when utterly clueless, amathiac,
ultra-macho toxic males forced keeping bright red trousers ...
- “Alan Kohler: How Japan escaped neoliberalism and lived happily ever after” https://www.thenewdaily.com.au/opinion/2023/12/04/alan-kohler-japans-happy-economics “Japan
was not bitten by the neoliberal mosquito that infected most other
Western countries in the 1990s, because it had a property bubble in the
late 1980s, and then a devastating bust in 1990, so that free markets
got a bad name in Japan, and economic orthodoxy was defenestrated.
Meanwhile progressive governments in America and Australia – Bill
Clinton and Hawke/Keating – reacted to the collapse of the Soviet Union,
and the discrediting of the command economy, with the assertion of
capitalism: Privatisation, deregulation, globalisation and budget
surpluses – called economic rationalism at the time, and now
neoliberalism.” While I consider our neoliberal system is killing people and society and needs to change (and CAN change, as shown by the temporary support, work from home, and other changes during pandemic lockdowns),
and there are quite possibly good lessons from Japan in this article, I
am also aware of the excessive work culture there, and that the move to
no growth economies for survival (climate crisis) reasons will change a
lot of things - including deficits, which now can often become less
significant or even insignificant as a result of economic growth and “Trapped by Automation: Poverty and discrimination in Serbia’s welfare state” https://www.amnesty.org/en/latest/research/2023/12/trapped-by-automation-poverty-and-discrimination-in-serbias-welfare-state/ & “There are 26 jobseekers for every entry-level position in Australia, report finds” https://www.theguardian.com/business/2023/dec/07/there-are-26-jobseekers-for-every-entry-level-position-in-australia-report-finds “Anglicare
chief says its survey shows more than 500,000 people are being ‘left
behind’, with demand for starter jobs outstripping supply across
country” & “The 7 charts that show Australians struggling as saving falls to near zero” https://theconversation.com/the-7-charts-that-show-australians-struggling-as-saving-falls-to-near-zero-218924 & “Ditch the rose-coloured glasses: Australia’s GDP is going backwards” https://www.theguardian.com/business/grogonomics/2023/dec/06/australia-gdp-september-quarter-falling-per-capita “We
have now had three consecutive quarters of falling GDP on a per capita
basis. That last happened 40 years ago during the 1982-83 recession” This article has some excellent insights - and is well presented with graphics to illustrate the points quite well but “Permanent Economic Inclusion Advisory Committee welcome, but government must establish poverty measure - The Australian Independent Media Network” https://theaimn.com/permanent-economic-inclusion-advisory-committee-welcome-but-government-must-establish-poverty-measure/
- “If Labor wants to break a high court losing streak, it must take the drafter’s pen off Peter Dutton” https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2023/dec/04/if-labor-wants-to-break-a-high-court-losing-streak-it-must-take-the-drafters-pen-off-peter-dutton “Being in the right is not worth much if the Albanese government allows the opposition to bully it into making laws that won’t stand up in court” but see also “Albanese is prioritising governing over spectacle – but in an era of zero-sum politics, is it enough? | Katharine Murphy” https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2023/dec/02/albanese-is-prioritising-governing-over-spectacle-but-in-an-era-of-zero-sum-politics-is-it-enough
- “Centrelink should consider waiving 100,000 debts that may be unlawful, ombudsman report finds” https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2023/dec/04/centrelink-waive-unlawful-debts-ombudsman-services-australia “Watchdog
says Services Australia and the Department of Social Services ‘did not
act promptly’ to address the issue and calls on agencies to apologise” I consider the Ombudsman’s recommendation should be implemented and “Two people remain in jail for welfare debts that Centrelink may have calculated unlawfully” https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2023/dec/07/jailed-people-centrelink-debt-potentially-unlawful-wrongful-conviction “The cases are probably wrongful convictions and prosecutors should facilitate appeals, a legal expert says” This
is utterly appalling, and must be remedied immediately - and those
responsible sacked and, if they have broken any laws, charged!
- “Councils are opening the door to tiny houses as a quick, affordable and green solution” https://theconversation.com/councils-are-opening-the-door-to-tiny-houses-as-a-quick-affordable-and-green-solution-217267
- “A Senate inquiry is calling for a new ‘behaviour curriculum’ to try and tackle classroom disruptions” https://theconversation.com/a-senate-inquiry-is-calling-for-a-new-behaviour-curriculum-to-try-and-tackle-classroom-disruptions-218695 “However,
effective behaviour management in schools requires a supportive school
system. This means there is enough funding, time and resources for
planning, support teams, collaboration with parents and other
professionals, and teacher coaching and mentoring. So far, the
committee is largely silent on this issue. There are also concerns
about the framing of this inquiry. In a dissenting report, the Greens
argue: “This inquiry should have started with the question ‘why are
these students coming into school today feeling distracted, unheard or
frustrated?’.” If we are going to genuinely improve behaviour and
disruptions at school, we do need to move from “fixing the blame” toward
“fixing the problem”. This means not fixating on just teachers or
students, but looking at the broad context of schools and their
communities.” The Senate committee was headed by a neoliberal, and I consider the bias in the recommendations shows an old school, Newtonian mindset - one out of touch with the changes to society from the 1960s
Assumptions / basis
In writing this, I have assumed / started from the following:
- this blog states quite clearly that it is about political and human rights matters, including lived experience of problems, and thus I will assume readers are reasonable people who have noted the content warning in the post header;
Possible flaws
Where I can, I will try to highlight possible flaws / issues you should consider:
- there may be flawed logical arguments in the above: to find out more about such flaws and thinking generally, I recommend Brendan
Myers’ free online course “Clear and Present Thinking”;
- I could be wrong - so keep your thinking caps on, and make up your own minds for yourself.
If they are of any use of interest, the activism information links from my former news posts are available in this post.
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